The Meb Faber Show
The Meb Faber Show
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Don't Miss These Signs: Are The Roaring 20s Coming Back? (UBS's Jason Draho Explains)
Subscribe to The Meb Faber Show podcast on your favorite platform so you never miss an episode! pod.link/1128955736
Today’s guest is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas for UBS Global Wealth Management. He’s also the Chair of the US Investment Strategy Committee.
In today’s episode, Jason talks about the possibility of a Roaring 20’s decade for the US economy. He discusses the factors contributing to this scenario, including a possible capex boom, AI, the green energy transition and security & deglobalization. He also covers the role of bonds in the new macro regime, the impact of inflation and growth on stocks and bonds, and his take on the deglobalization narrative.
To see links or read the transcript of the episode, visit us at www.themebfabershow.com/episodes/LonP1CQI0gw
(1:40) Welcome to Jason Draho
(2:09) The resilience of the US economy
(3:08) Misinterpreting economic signals
(4:07) Household financial health post-pandemic
(6:29) Positive demand shock and investment trends
(14:11) US growth projections
(23:26) Asset allocation strategies
(39:04) Gold and real estate markets
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Переглядів: 1 120

Відео

Sentiment & Valuation: How to Use Them To Predict The Market (RBC’s Lori Calvasina Explains)
Переглядів 981День тому
Subscribe to The Meb Faber Show podcast on your favorite platform so you never miss an episode! pod.link/1128955736 Today’s guest is Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets. She was recently named to Barron’s 100 Most Influential Women in U.S. Finance. In today’s episode, Lori explains why the US market has become more sentiment driven in the post COVID era. She shares...
An Asset Class You've Never Heard Of: Investing In Lawsuits | Eva Shang
Переглядів 1,3 тис.14 днів тому
Subscribe to The Meb Faber Show podcast on your favorite platform so you never miss an episode! pod.link/1128955736 Today’s guest is Eva Shang, co-founder and CEO of Legalist, which is an institutional alternative asset management firm using data-driven technology to invest in credit assets at scale. Eva is a Thiel Fellow and participated in Y Combinator. In today’s episode, Eva covers everythi...
The Bear Market in Diversification
Переглядів 1,5 тис.14 днів тому
Subscribe to The Meb Faber Show podcast on your favorite platform so you never miss an episode! pod.link/1128955736 In today’s episode, Meb reads a recent post, "The Bear Market in Diversification." mcusercontent.com/9b952b5653f63b46c40f9953a/files/ada6ecc7-c517-0df6-2d3d-6da06191a029/Cambria_TheBearMarketInDiversification_1_1_.pdf Follow Meb: Twitter: MebFaber LinkedIn: www.linkedi...
Cheap, Hated, But In An Uptrend: Can China Be A Once In A Lifetime Opportunity? | Brendan Ahern
Переглядів 2,6 тис.21 день тому
Cheap, Hated, But In An Uptrend: Can China Be A Once In A Lifetime Opportunity? | Brendan Ahern
Trend Following Masterclass NOBODY Shares With You (Mike Melissinos Reveals)
Переглядів 2,8 тис.28 днів тому
Trend Following Masterclass NOBODY Shares With You (Mike Melissinos Reveals)
What's Worse Than A Value Trap? GMO's Ben Inker & Tom Hancock Answer
Переглядів 1,1 тис.Місяць тому
What's Worse Than A Value Trap? GMO's Ben Inker & Tom Hancock Answer
If You Don't Follow The Trend, You Are Missing Out! (Eric Crittenden & Jason Buck Explain)
Переглядів 3,8 тис.Місяць тому
If You Don't Follow The Trend, You Are Missing Out! (Eric Crittenden & Jason Buck Explain)
Financial Myth-Busting: Prof. Kenneth French Debunks Buybacks' Misconceptions
Переглядів 618Місяць тому
Financial Myth-Busting: Prof. Kenneth French Debunks Buybacks' Misconceptions
What Many Buy-And-Hold Investors Get Wrong: Professor Hendrik Bessembinder Explains
Переглядів 11 тис.Місяць тому
What Many Buy-And-Hold Investors Get Wrong: Professor Hendrik Bessembinder Explains
Rare Opportunities Not-Seen In 35 Years: Catherine LeGraw of GMO Reveals
Переглядів 9 тис.Місяць тому
Rare Opportunities Not-Seen In 35 Years: Catherine LeGraw of GMO Reveals
Famed Finance Expert Kenneth French Reveals: Most Dangerous Investor Fallacies
Переглядів 12 тис.2 місяці тому
Famed Finance Expert Kenneth French Reveals: Most Dangerous Investor Fallacies
T-Bills and Chill … Most of the Time
Переглядів 1 тис.2 місяці тому
T-Bills and Chill … Most of the Time
The Biggest Investment Mistake: Billionaire Hedge Fund Cliff Asness Reveals
Переглядів 16 тис.2 місяці тому
The Biggest Investment Mistake: Billionaire Hedge Fund Cliff Asness Reveals
Meet Nevada's John Bogle: How A $60B Investor Mastered The Art Of Saying No | Steve Edmundson
Переглядів 4,6 тис.2 місяці тому
Meet Nevada's John Bogle: How A $60B Investor Mastered The Art Of Saying No | Steve Edmundson
Webinar Replay: Introducing Cambria's New ETFs: $TYLD & $MYLD
Переглядів 1,4 тис.2 місяці тому
Webinar Replay: Introducing Cambria's New ETFs: $TYLD & $MYLD
How California's $450B Pension Fund Misses The Basics Of Investing
Переглядів 1,5 тис.3 місяці тому
How California's $450B Pension Fund Misses The Basics Of Investing
The Fed's Mistake: We Don't Need A Rate Cut In 2024
Переглядів 1,4 тис.3 місяці тому
The Fed's Mistake: We Don't Need A Rate Cut In 2024
The Tipping Point: Markets Are Disconnected From Reality | Grant Williams & Peter Atwater
Переглядів 20 тис.3 місяці тому
The Tipping Point: Markets Are Disconnected From Reality | Grant Williams & Peter Atwater
How One Man Makes High Schoolers Care About 401K & IRA
Переглядів 3623 місяці тому
How One Man Makes High Schoolers Care About 401K & IRA
DANGER: We've Got The Most Concentrated Asset Exposure to the Most Expensive Markets
Переглядів 12 тис.3 місяці тому
DANGER: We've Got The Most Concentrated Asset Exposure to the Most Expensive Markets
Elon Musk: A Crook or A Visionary Like Steve Jobs?
Переглядів 6593 місяці тому
Elon Musk: A Crook or A Visionary Like Steve Jobs?
This ETF Rule Could Be the Difference Between A Millionaire And A Billionaire
Переглядів 1,8 тис.3 місяці тому
This ETF Rule Could Be the Difference Between A Millionaire And A Billionaire
MEBISODE: A Better Approach to Dividend Investing
Переглядів 6774 місяці тому
MEBISODE: A Better Approach to Dividend Investing
Unconventional Investment No One Talks About - Portfolio Manager Tina Vandersteel Explains
Переглядів 3,4 тис.4 місяці тому
Unconventional Investment No One Talks About - Portfolio Manager Tina Vandersteel Explains
MASTER the Market: From Shorting Tesla to Avoiding Hype! - Drew Dickson Explains
Переглядів 1,6 тис.4 місяці тому
MASTER the Market: From Shorting Tesla to Avoiding Hype! - Drew Dickson Explains
The Year of Misery for Banks | Super Deep Dive by Ben Mackovak
Переглядів 1,7 тис.4 місяці тому
The Year of Misery for Banks | Super Deep Dive by Ben Mackovak
Money is YOUR CHOICE! Radio Host & Four Times Author Jared Dillian Explains
Переглядів 2,1 тис.4 місяці тому
Money is YOUR CHOICE! Radio Host & Four Times Author Jared Dillian Explains
Hours Before Bitcoin ETF Approval With Crypto Asset Manager | Bruno Caratori
Переглядів 5485 місяців тому
Hours Before Bitcoin ETF Approval With Crypto Asset Manager | Bruno Caratori
BlackRock's Bond Chief: Lock That Bond Yield! | Rick Rieder
Переглядів 8 тис.5 місяців тому
BlackRock's Bond Chief: Lock That Bond Yield! | Rick Rieder

КОМЕНТАРІ

  • @kimchan7189
    @kimchan7189 16 годин тому

    Too much talk.. Where the beef?

  • @rof8200
    @rof8200 21 годину тому

    End of the day, sovereigns are no longer interested in US Treasuries

  • @charlie2222
    @charlie2222 22 години тому

    He got his head up his cuyo

  • @HectorYague
    @HectorYague 22 години тому

    Very articulate guest, thank you. The part I struggle with from his thesis is: he expects sustained 6% nominal growth and 6% deficit spending for the rest of the decade, yet he expects inflation to drop back down to the 2-handle. For that type of scenario to materialize, you'd need a Wakanda-style productivity boost. So, either AI becomes the 21st century's hallmark revolution (think steam engine or electricity level of advancement), or it will be absolutely impossible to reach that type of growth and deficit spending without inflation (and the long end of the curve) creeping back up.

  • @bruceaulabaugh
    @bruceaulabaugh День тому

    Very Good. Many thanks guys.

  • @ryantinney
    @ryantinney День тому

    Wonderful discussion.

  • @amonifinau4048
    @amonifinau4048 День тому

    Thank you!

  • @colby4580
    @colby4580 День тому

    Jason is great. Great episode!

  • @amonifinau4048
    @amonifinau4048 День тому

    Thank you!

  • @airbourne2
    @airbourne2 День тому

    Guest talks too fast

    • @Weetorp
      @Weetorp День тому

      Then lower speed to 0,75...

  • @ann-ie4hc
    @ann-ie4hc День тому

    How do most of you guys still make profit? Even with the downturn of the economy and ever increasing life standards

    • @Morton-221
      @Morton-221 День тому

      Well, I picked the challenge to put my finances in order. Then I invested in cryptocurrency and stocks, through the assistance of my discretionary fund manager

    • @Morton-221
      @Morton-221 День тому

      Hattie Glover

    • @ann-ie4hc
      @ann-ie4hc День тому

      Please educate me. I've come across this name before. Now I am interested. How can I reach her?

    • @Additional44
      @Additional44 День тому

      This is correct, Hattie's strategy has normalized winning trades for me also and it's a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started..

    • @ViktoriaJohanson
      @ViktoriaJohanson День тому

      Crypto is the best future where people makes money and generate good returns.

  • @tommasiero5234
    @tommasiero5234 День тому

    Perth Tooles fund is closing in on $1b now…

  • @user-eb3pi4tv9k
    @user-eb3pi4tv9k 2 дні тому

    Why do Americans always wear shxtty baseball caps indoors?

  • @jimjackson4256
    @jimjackson4256 6 днів тому

    Don’t worry about public employees they will tap into the rest of the taxpayers and will get their pensions guaranteed.So what were their returns overall? It can’t be the minuscule amount meb said can it?

  • @ggttuuxx
    @ggttuuxx 7 днів тому

    How much do we want Money to further distort the legal system?

  • @MonteRosa849
    @MonteRosa849 7 днів тому

    Excellent post! Thank you very much.

  • @fredatlas4396
    @fredatlas4396 7 днів тому

    But 2022 is just one year. Investing is about the long term it's a long term project

  • @gnomedeguerre2482
    @gnomedeguerre2482 7 днів тому

    The lomitation of all Money all scenarios no matter the application area. Ther eis more to numbers than just numbers.

  • @FarAway-125
    @FarAway-125 7 днів тому

    I agree home economics should be compulsory for all male female it teaches alot basic life skills makes u independent

  • @ggttuuxx
    @ggttuuxx 8 днів тому

    This "actively managed" fund just holds 3 T-bills, but charges a whopping 0.59% mgmt fee, as if it was an actively managed stock fund with bottom up stock picking. Investors who have a little bit of time should buy the T-bills themselves. Cambia's website on TYLD lists the holdings. So continue to watch Meb, but you can skip this "fund". And I haven't mentioned the odd 33% leverage they put on, just to pretend to be "active"? That's costs on top of costs. This is not a good fund.

  • @ggttuuxx
    @ggttuuxx 8 днів тому

    "Moneyball" sounds so 'smart'. It is moronic to bias and corrupt the legal system with money. A couple decades later, there will be less fairness but no way to fix it, because a powerful self-interest lobby group will be mucking up justice.

  • @JamalSmalls-ef4ru
    @JamalSmalls-ef4ru 8 днів тому

    No video?

  • @memphistennis1691
    @memphistennis1691 8 днів тому

    OK, that 490 equal weighted trade is actualy doable with fractional shares, but that is a LOT of mouse clicking. I just retired this month and I am rolling over a 457 B. I might just try this, because I agree the Mag 7 is WAY over vallued. 490 positions is a lot but it is not infinity. Maybe the S&P 100 minus Mag 7 might be more realistic, that is 93 positions.

  • @memphistennis1691
    @memphistennis1691 8 днів тому

    Mr. Faber, how would the average investor actually pull off owning the bottom 490 stocks to gain that extra 3 points?

  • @memphistennis1691
    @memphistennis1691 8 днів тому

    I think maybe SPY will self correct the problem with concentration, Mega Cap growth (Meta, Apple, Tesla, etc) cratered after years of out performance for about a year, and then took off again this year, with Nvidia grafted on to the usual suspects. That still leaves it with a high average valuation as the young lady suggests. Personally, I plan to over weight new money into FEZ over SPY. I think Ms. Catherine might approve. I won't bore everyone with all my smart or stupid trades in individual equities. I think GMO is a bit hyperbolic with the claim of this being the best opportunity to outperform in 35 years. A bit of a sales pitch, would you say?

  • @darwinmolina8531
    @darwinmolina8531 9 днів тому

    I watch it every time I have a losing streak ! Thank you !

  • @ggttuuxx
    @ggttuuxx 10 днів тому

    A new version of Ambulance Chasers.

  • @grohowskis
    @grohowskis 10 днів тому

    There is definitely something wrong with our system.

  • @666mengel
    @666mengel 10 днів тому

    Disgusting, but all legal!! Money has no smell!

  • @afmo13
    @afmo13 11 днів тому

    This is fucking vile

  • @UnionParkPlumbing
    @UnionParkPlumbing 11 днів тому

    "You don't recover your principal" That's a fancy way of saying YOU LOOSE YOUR MONEY

  • @Kaisermb1
    @Kaisermb1 11 днів тому

    This is detestable.

  • @robertedwards9055
    @robertedwards9055 11 днів тому

    Lol.

  • @hantyumi7759
    @hantyumi7759 11 днів тому

    You can't afford justice? Why not gamble on it?

  • @kamanama3671
    @kamanama3671 11 днів тому

    Are you preying on people?

  • @wargumbyx
    @wargumbyx 11 днів тому

    so basically its the criminals funding all of the fraudulent lawsuits and the occasional legitimate one

  • @fredatlas4396
    @fredatlas4396 12 днів тому

    Here in the UK we have the option to choose Accumulation or Income share classes in funds or some etfs so dividends are automatically reinvested within the fund for Acc funds. Also a lot of platforms offer automated reinvestment of dividends for shares or income etfs etc

  • @mvexler
    @mvexler 13 днів тому

    The top of her league!

  • @desijnk
    @desijnk 14 днів тому

    Fantastic interview !

  • @samhubble6147
    @samhubble6147 14 днів тому

    UK investors can buy Litigation Capital to do this. You can also buy insurance risk by buying Beazley. They are operating companies that are kind of like a closed ended fund.

  • @KhamPisethOfficial
    @KhamPisethOfficial 14 днів тому

    The Next Millionaire Next Door is a great book.

  • @jamesbenson5505
    @jamesbenson5505 15 днів тому

    Meb, my man. Great guest and great questions. One question I have is, what are private equity returns? Her words. She gave specific numbers for the fees. A very interesting niche.

    • @TheChinaPlay
      @TheChinaPlay 13 днів тому

      "2 and 20" with a smirk of embarrassment....she gave away that her fees are too high. Not a good poker face. Perhaps its Private Equity like returns for her and Bond-like returns for investors? i don't see how returns can be attractive with 2&20 without leverage being applied.

    • @paulumz
      @paulumz 7 днів тому

      @@TheChinaPlay I had exactly the same thought

    • @TheChinaPlay
      @TheChinaPlay 7 днів тому

      @@paulumz Even Meb was blown away, lol

  • @ManforSomeMarkets
    @ManforSomeMarkets 15 днів тому

    Will need to listen to the full interview, but a few points based on this clip: 1) ByteDance is a Chinese company that happens to have US investors, and the Party always comes before Capital in China. Lenin said it best that the Capitalists will sell the rope that hangs them. 2) Agreed that the legal basis for a ban is tricky, hence the primary aim is to divest TikTok US (which has limited precedent from the Grindr divestment). Bytedance can sue but any challenge in the courts would risk outing the scale of Bytedance’s complicity with the CCP on data sharing and influence campaigns. 3) It’s not a zero if they divest, TikTok is plenty popular outside the US. Heck, it’s a forced dividend for Yass that would pay out an absurd multiple of what he put in. Anyone who claims divestment is a zero is running cover for Yass or the CCP. Shutting down TikTok rather than divesting would be a self inflicted wound by petty VC’s or the Politburo who refuse to lose their influence vector. But I do agree the media just reports this stuff without deeper analysis or criticism.

  • @ggttuuxx
    @ggttuuxx 17 днів тому

    Easy question. Trump hurts America while benefiting himself. Biden also hurts America to benefit himself; and on top of that, Biden Sponsors a Genocide and murders children. Who do you think most people from the Rest of the World prefers? The Lying Moron or the Lying Butcher? Enjoy "democracy", or whatever you want to call it. It just ain't.

  • @lovechineseforever9434
    @lovechineseforever9434 17 днів тому

    NOT ANYMORE WITHOUT CHINESE MONEY

  • @SigFigNewton
    @SigFigNewton 17 днів тому

    Does it count as having bonds in my portfolio if vanguard is probably paying my money market fund yield via short term bonds? I’ve never been diversified. All stocks and cash considering buying stocks. I’ve always been diversified. An international mutual fund is my largest holding.

  • @togoni
    @togoni 18 днів тому

    Invest into the Cambria TAIL Fund for tail swings of the market It only goes down, never sideways

  • @MK-qj5wr
    @MK-qj5wr 18 днів тому

    Great post! Commentary on the three historical precedents, i.e. roaring 20s nifty 50s & Internet bubble relevant and daunting. Keep up the great work.

  • @dexinvictus6103
    @dexinvictus6103 18 днів тому

    Wow, SYLD beating SPY on a 5yr timeframe

  • @johnbwill
    @johnbwill 18 днів тому

    Thank you Meb. This is one of the best interviews I've seen with Mohnish. I worked in a historically low-paying field (martial arts) for 35 years - but just saved 10-20% of my income religiously - let it compound - and because I did it in a structure that is tax-free upon retirement - I have now more than I can ever spend. I din't do anything really - time did it all for me. Not rocket science - but it only works if you don't mess with it. As Mohnish has often said - just 'watch the paint dry'. Thanks to both.